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Even if you know you had sex on a certain day, the egg and sperm can sit in the body for up to a week before connecting.
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Early ultrasounds at six to eight weeks can give us a good idea of the conception date, but that date can still be off by five days each way. I loved the answer Prince William and Kate Middleton gave when asked about their due date; they were vague and said the baby would come in “mid- to late April 2015.” Accepting a due date range instead of a single day is the perspective I encourage all my patients to have.
There’s no clear answer to how long a pregnancy can safely go.